YouTube trading ideas, tested in public
Watch the pitch. Test the rules. Publish the verdict.
What Doesn't Work turns trading videos into research notes: the actual claim, my read on it, the backtest design, and a script you can run on your own data.
Source A trading idea with enough detail to turn into rules.
Translation The claim becomes explicit entries, exits, costs, and assumptions.
Verdict The post explains what I think, what the test found, and what is still weak.
Latest Video Tests
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Did not work Mean reversion
Does Bollinger RSI ADX Mean Reversion Work on Crypto Futures?
A one-year 1-hour crypto futures sweep found that the Bollinger, higher-timeframe RSI, and ADX mean reversion strategy failed on NEAR and most comparable markets.
Inconclusive Scalping
Does the EMA + VWAP 5-Minute Scalping Strategy Work?
A mechanical test of the 8 EMA, 21 EMA, and VWAP scalping setup found weak results on the available 5-minute US stock sample, but the data window was too short for a final verdict.
Did not work Trend following
Does the 20/50 Moving Average Crossover Work for Forex?
A daily Forex sweep found a few positive pairs, but not enough edge to support the best-strategy claim after costs.
All Research Pages
Research archive- Does Bollinger RSI ADX Mean Reversion Work on Crypto Futures?
- Does the EMA + VWAP 5-Minute Scalping Strategy Work?
- Does the 20/50 Moving Average Crossover Work for Forex?
- Does Bollinger + MACD Mean Reversion Work Across Markets?
- Does the Williams Fractals 1-Minute Scalping Strategy Work?
- Can the Touch and Turn Opening Range Scalper Be Tested Cleanly?
- Does the MACD + 200 MA Strategy Work Across Markets?
- Is RSI Better as a Momentum Filter Than a Reversal Signal?